Cover of Feb 2024 IM Report

Investment Monitor: Indonesia as an Emerging Hub for Critical Minerals and Electric Vehicles: Opportunities and Risks for Canada

Indonesia is emerging as a leader in nickel production and an electric vehicle (EV) hub for Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) economies. Canadian investors have been actively engaged in Indonesia’s nickel industry and will benefit from the development of the country’s EV production. Despite the opportunities, mining investors interested in setting up shop in Indonesia should be prepared to face a shifting policy environment and social protests over mining activities, alongside general market volatility, as demonstrated by the recent slump in global lithium prices.

Key Takeaways:

  1. Indonesia is a growing regional hub for electric vehicle (EV) production, embedded within the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) ecosystem and benefiting from abundant nickel resources. 
  2. Foreign direct investment (FDI) has picked up in Indonesia’s mining and EV sectors, leading to the development of business clusters that will reduce the cost of EV production. 
  3. However, Indonesia’s mining sector is impacted by global price volatility, protectionist policies, and nationalization. Indonesia is also embroiled in social conflicts over the environmental impact of mining, which may disrupt mining operations and the development of the EV sector.
  4. Canadian companies invested more than C$900M in Indonesia’s mining sector from 2003 to 2019. They are also significantly involved in nickel mining, with PT Vale Indonesia, a subsidiary of Vale Canada Limited, owning the largest nickel mine in the country. 
  5. Canada is expanding its footprint in the region by stationing Canada’s first Indo-Pacific Trade Representative, Paul Thoppil, in Jakarta and negotiating free trade agreements with Indonesia and ASEAN.

Anastasia Ufimtseva

Anastasia Ufimtseva is the Senior Program Manager with the International Trade and Investment team at the Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada. She holds a PhD in Global Governance from the Balsillie School of International Affairs at Wilfrid Laurier University, with a specialization in international political economy. Her research focuses on foreign direct investment, international trade, economic security, and Canada’s economic relations with the Indo-Pacific. 

Anastasia's academic work has been published in leading international journals, including the Academy of Management Perspectives, Journal of International Business Policy, Energy Policy, Global Policy, and Cambridge Review of International Affairs. She leads research for APF Canada’s Investment Monitor, which tracks two-way investment between Canada and the Asia Pacific. She is also a faculty fellow at the Beedie School of Business, Simon Fraser University.

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Charlotte Atkins

Charlotte Atkins is a former Project Specialist with the Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada's Business Asia team. She has a Masters in Political Science and Asian Studies from the University of Toronto, where her research focused on contentious politics in Asia. She has since expanded her research areas to include policy, trade, and investment between Canada and the Asia Pacific through her work at APF Canada.

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Pia Silvia Rozario

Pia Silvia Rozario is a Project Specialist, Women Entrepreneurship Strategy, Central Canada Office, at APF Canada. She is a recent Master of Public Policy graduate from the University of Calgary.

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Rachael Gurney

Rachael Gurney is a Senior Project Specialist, International Trade and Investment, at the Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada. She has a M.A. in Political Science and Contemporary East Asian and Southeast Asian studies from the University of Toronto and a Bachelor of Arts from the University of British Columbia. Her master’s research focused on resource nationalism in Indonesia’s critical mineral mining policies. Her research interests concern natural resource policy, foreign direct investment, and free trade.

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