Dans l'actualité

Has the India-Pakistan ceasefire been broken?

CTV, May 10, 2025

Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada

Excerpt:  "Everyone wants to find an offramp, de-escalation, and stop the fighting, but the situation is violate and a lot still is unknown."

Nadjibulla notes that the U.S. and China are key players in diplomatic discussions and de-escalation efforts, but that a "full conflict should bring in regional powers... [such as] China, Iran, Russia. We are already at a stage of escalation that we haven't seen really since 1999... it's in everyone's interests to make sure the ceasefire holds." 

CBC's Natasha Fatah speaks to Vina Nadjibulla about the escalation between India and Pakistan

CBC, May 10, 2025

Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada

Excerpt:  Nadjibulla notes that the "last four days we have seen unprecedented escalations" in the tensions between India and Pakistan in Kashmir. Foreign leaders have now stepped in to mediate based on "alarming intelligence that the situation could get much worse." 

The situation has also shown the potential danger of what "fighting could look like using Chinese and Western latest military equipment." She also notes that China has had a little diplomatic role despite saying "let's deescalate," perhaps because if "this whole situation results in India being taken down a notch in it's global ambitions, China could potentially benefit." 

CBC Listen Radio Circuit

CBC Listen, May 7, 2025

Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada

Excerpt: Vina Nadjibulla participated in a circuit of radio interviews across Canada for CBC Listen, in cities like Yellowknife, Halifax, Ottawa, Calgary, Vancouver, and more.

"We knew that the situation was extremely tense and India was likely to take a response to the terrorist attack on April 2nd, but the scale of India's response... was really surprising... but probably the worst [incident] we have seen between these two nuclear armed countries in decades." 

Nadjibulla notes that "Kashmir has been in the heart of India and Pakistan" tensions for decades, "but this current crisis comes at a time of relative calm" and a push for economic development in the region. She affirms that "the potential here for larger scale conflict is worrying" and we should be watching now for Pakistan's response. 

(Excerpt from Saskatchewan's The 306 with Peter Mills)

India-Pakistan ‘the most militarized’ region in the world today

CTV News, May 7, 2025

Featuring: Jeff Nankivell, President & CEO, APF Canada

Excerpt: Nankivell notes that "the root cause [of escalating tensions is] that this is a disputed territory" with a history of conflict between Pakistan and India, but the "horrific attack on April 22nd that was targeting tourists" in Kashmir, along with "India's retaliat[ion] with military strikes . . . [makes] this is the most militarized, heavily armed, tense region in the world today."

Nankivell also highlights that the nuclear capacity of both nations makes this escalation "very concerning . . . [but] it's not in anyone's interest in Pakistan or India to allow a full scale war to break out . . . and certainly the international community is going to work very hard to make sure this does not escalate further."

Are India and Pakistan on the brink of war?

CBC News, May 7, 2025

Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada

Excerpt: "We knew that military action was likely coming because that's what has happened historically" between India and Pakistan following a violent incident. 

"India is a critical regional partner, part of the Indo-Pacific . . . so the developments will have implications [across the globe] . . . but the world cannot afford another major conflict . . . the bandwidth for world leaders to deal with another issues is very limited and the desire on all sides is to see deescalation and restraint. 

"This will have a long lasting impact, even if the tension is contained. Moving forward, the relationship will be at a new low for a while." 

Absences scolaires : un robot en renfort au Japon

ICI Radio-Canada, 2 mai, 2025

En vedette : Cathy Senay, boursière en reportage de la FAP Canada pour 2024-25

Sur : « Au cours des dernières années, le nombre d’élèves absents de façon prolongée a fortement augmenté chez les enfants et les adolescents de Kumamoto. Entre 2020 et 2023, il est passé de 1863 à 3694 élèves.

Le ministère de l’Éducation observe la même tendance dans le reste du Japon. Par exemple, le nombre d’élèves absents était de 299 000 en 2022, puis a grimpé à 346 000 en 2023. Des records.

... Le robot en classe est la plus récente initiative de la Commission scolaire de la ville de Kumamoto et une première du genre au Japon. »

Carney Leads Liberals to Victory; Trump Softens Auto Tariffs | Insight with Haslinda Amin 4/29/25

Bloomberg, April 29, 2025

Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada

Excerpt: "This is a stunning result. No body would have expected this just two months ago... This is very much a result that is shaped by President Trump. Tariffs trade war, and his threats on Canada's sovereignty and independence were the defining issues in this election and Canadians have resoundingly said 'no' to that and 'yes' to Mark Carney...

"[his] government will have to deliver some early wins and the G20 offers him a big opportunity in terms of global leadership..."

Canada PM Mark Carney signals a reset in ties with India if he returns to power

Hindustan Times, April 28, 2025

Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada, and  Suvolaxmi Dutta Choudhury, Program Manager, South Asia, APF Canada.

Excerpt: Nadjibulla and Choudhury note that measures will need to be in place and taken before a semblance of normalcy can be achieved in the Canada-India relationship.

They offer suggestions such as inviting Modi for the G7 Leaders’ Summit in June this year as “India will be watching [the G7] closely, particularly regarding the handling of invitations — especially if key non-members are invited." They further suggested justice measure in both Canada and India to address the Nijjar murder similar to those carried out by  Justice general counsel Gurpatwant Pannun in the United States.

Canadians asking ‘Who will best stand up to Trump?’

Al Jazeera, April 28, 2025

Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada

Excerpt: Nadjibulla contents that today’s Canadian vote represents “one of the most consequential elections in decades... driven as much by President Trump’s tariffs, trade war and even ’51st state’ barbs as by persistent cost-of-living pressures at home”.

She added that domestic issues like Canada's housing crisis “remain urgent concerns, but Canadians are ultimately asking: who will best stand up to Washington and defend our sovereignty and economic interests?”

Canada caught up in China-U.S. trade war as Trump claims fentanyl continues to flow

CTV News, April 24, 2025

Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada

Excerpt: On the Canada-China relationship, Nadjibulla argues that "whatever difficulties we have with the U.S., China is not the solution."

Earlier Carney-Trump meeting under scrutiny as election campaign enters final days

The Vassy Kapelos Show, April 24, 2025

Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada

Excerpt: "It's clear the current situation is unsustainable for both [the U.S. and China] economies, so we likely will see some reduction in tariffs... [but] the overall relationship will remain a challenging one."

Nadjibulla argues that Trump's plan to rebalance global economic trade means that "China needs to stop exporting its way out of it's domestic economic struggles... They will need to have a rethink [on their economic system]... and make some changes.

"In terms of a full restructuring of the Chinese economy, that is going to be a longer term prospect and we'll see to what extent those changes will be happening... whether or not [China is] willing to bring about reforms that don't need it is a question mark."

Reconnecting with India

La Press, April 16, 2025

Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada

Excerpt: "On China, Canada is in tune with Western countries. On India, Canada is an anomaly."

"We need to have a relationship with India that allows us to manage disputes - and they are considerable, I don't want to minimize that," Nadjibulla argues.

She adds that "reducing the relationship between Canada and India to the sole issue of Sikh concerns or Sikh activism is detrimental to national interests and Canadian values in the broad sense."

As US and China escalate trade war, the world asks, ‘Who will blink first?’

Al Jazeera, April 16, 2025

Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada

Excerpt: "A 145-percent tariff will make it impossible for China to sell to the US – the costs on both economies will be exceptionally high... A complete decoupling is almost impossible to contemplate." 

Nadjibulla also noted that "who will blink first [between Trump and President Xi Jinping] depends on who can stand more pain and who is better prepared."

Canadian election outcome not of ‘pivotal strategic importance’ for China and India, say observers

The Hill Times, April 16, 2025

Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada

Excerpt: In regards to the upcoming Canadian election, Nadjibulla notes that China may be "watching to see what each candidate might be saying about China, and in general, China is interested in making sure that views that are not friendly to it are not being discussed in the context of the election." 

When it comes to Canada's Indo-Pacific Strategy introduced in 2022 and the trade war imposed by the Trump Administration, she highlighted that "regardless of who’s the prime minister, if Canada truly wants to diversify and have more options outside the U.S., we need to redouble our efforts on the Indo-Pacific."

Trump tariffs: China calls on the US to 'correct its mistakes'

DW News, April 13, 2025

Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada

Excerpt: "Ultimately China will continue to find alternative markets, make deals with others [in the wake of Trump's tariff announcements] . . . It's going to be very difficult for some of these other economies because they would want to continue to have stable and good relations with China, but on the other hand they want to protect their markets . . . they don't want to see Chinese products that aren't able to come to the U.S. being dumped on their markets and impacting their manufacturing.

"Overall direction of travel is both the U.S. and China are trying to decouple and reroute supply chains." 

CHINA RAISES TARIFFS ON U.S. GOODS TO 125%

CTV News, April 11, 2025

Featuring: Jeff Nankivell, President & CEO, APF Canada

Excerpt: "You're not going to see China backing down anytime soon . . . both sides are anticipating there will be a negotiation somewhere down the road . . . in the coming months. 

"China has made a number of moves . . . to present itself as friendly to other countries around the world" to shore up supply chains.

In regard to the argument that Chinese exporters are engaging in unfair trading practices Nankivell says, "China has taken advantage over the years in a number of ways and there is no question that reciprocity hasn't existed . . . so there has been an imbalance, but an imbalance that the rest of the world has seen benefits as well . . . [but China] has the skills, expertise, and supply chains and logistics . . . to become th[is] unique producer of goods."

What could the trade war between China and the US mean for Canada?

CBC - Radio West with Sarah Penton, April 4, 2025

Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada

Excerpt: Nadjibulla spoke to host Sarah Penton on the potential impact of Trump's trade agenda and reducing trading between the U.S. and China on global markets, saying: "We are in a full-blown trade war, this is unchartered territory . . . whatever happens here we are all going to be impacted. 

"It really is a game of chicken and it depends who is going to blink first and who can tolerate more pain. China is demonstrating a lot of resolve . . . if there is a deal to be made I don't think it'll happen soon.

Canada exports a lot of agricultural goods . . . to China. So there's a slow down in the Chinese economy because of these tariffs and that will impact Canadian exporters as well."

What to watch for as Trump’s ‘reciprocal’ tariffs kick in

Al Jazeera, April 9, 2025

Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada

Excerpt: "A 100 per cent China tariff will shut off all Chinese exports to the US." 

Nadjibulla notes that this tariff agenda from the Trump administration will  drive up prices in a U.S. economy heavily reliant on Chinese imports and push China to seek export trading in other markets such as Europe and Southeast Asia.

“The more China-US [trade war] escalates, the more the repercussions on Southeast Asian nations and other economies around the world."

The Take : Comment les tarifs douaniers imposés par Trump changent-ils les règles du commerce international

Al Jazeera - Balado The Take, 7 avril 2025
En vedette :

En vedette : Vina Nadjibulla, vice-présidente chargée de la recherche et de la stratégie, FAP Canada

Extrait : « Les mots manquent pour décrire à quel point ces temps sont sans précédent, autant en termes d’ampleur que d’exécution. Mardi dernier, personne ne savait à quoi s’attendre.

Les États-Unis détiennent le plus grand marché de consommation, et la déclaration de Trump « nous faisons plus d’affaires » aura un effet déstabilisateur sur l’économie américaine, de même que sur celles d’autres pays à travers le monde.

Il s’agit de la plus importante guerre commerciale de l’histoire moderne.

Cela aura un impact sur tout : ce que nous achetons, ce que nous fabriquons, l’emploi, l’inflation, tout cela et plus encore, puisqu’il s’agit d’une tentative de remodeler 80 ans de politiques commerciales internationales dont les États-Unis étaient les champions. »
 

Les tarifs de Trump portent un coup dur aux amis de Beijing, et offrent à la Chine une occasion en or

Business Insider, 4 avril 2025

En vedette : vice-présidente chargée de la recherche et de la stratégie, FAP Canada

Extrait : « Stratégiquement, les États-Unis viennent d’offrir une victoire à la Chine dans ce concours Chine – États-Unis.

« En concentrant leurs efforts sur la rivalité avec la Chine, les Américains cèdent du terrain et perdent de l’influence, faisant ainsi de la Chine la seule alternative pour plusieurs économies touchées par les droits de douane imposés par Trump. »