Dans l'actualité

Thawing of relations between Pakistan and US raises eyebrows in India

The Guardian,  June 18, 2025

Featuring: APF Canada Senior Fellow, Michael Kugelman

Excerpt: Kugelman comments on the unusual progression in U.S.-Pakistani relations after Donald Trump welcomes Pakistan’s army chief, Field Marshal Asim Munir, to DC. 

"Senior US officials often meet with Pakistani generals. But they don’t get entertained at the White House...Ayub Khan and Zia ul-Haq were exceptions but they came as heads of state.”

False Flags, Real Risks: How Nationalism Drives South Asia’s Nuclear Gamble — with Michael Kugelman

Modern Diplomacy,  June 18, 2025

Featuring: APF Canada Senior Fellow, Michael Kugelman

Excerpt: Looking at the regional and security dynamics of Southeast Asia, Kugelman notes that "this is a region where you have many countries that simply struggle to get along, not just India and Pakistan... and there are so many borders that are fraught and disputed... it continues to be concerning now.

"...Until the recent India-Pakistan conflict, the LOC (the line of control) [in Kashmir] was arguably one of the more stable borders in the region in the sense that there was a truce that had been in place for years."

Modi-Carney meeting raises hopes of reset in India-Canada ties

Hindustan Times, June 18, 2025

Featuring: Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada, Vina Nadjibulla

Excerpt: Nadjibulla notes that the meeting between Carney and Modi is a good signal from the two leaders towards the reseting of the two country's relationship and possible deepening cooperation as both look to diversify away from the U.S.

She said the meeting and its outcome represented a significant moment, setting the stage for follow-up action at the level of officials and ministers at the G6 in September. 

PM Modi In Canada For G7 Summit: 6th Appearance, Global 'Sandesh' In Focus| Newshour

Times Now, June 17, 2025

Featuring: Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada, Vina Nadjibulla

Excerpt: "The road for rebuilding this relationship, for rebuilding trust, will be a long one." 

Looking ahead to the G6 meeting in September, Nadjibulla notes that the time between then and this meeting will be critical in signalling if the Canada-India relationship is on the mend. 

"Canada and India need to revive law enforcement cooperation... it would be important to see justice and accountability" from India regarding the concerns Canada has put forward, but also for "Canada to take India's national security concerns" seriously. 

Carney to Hold Bilateral Talks with Modi

CTV News, June 17, 2025

Featuring: Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada, Vina Nadjibulla

Excerpt: "The relationship matters not just for Canada thats trying to diversify it's partnerships in Europe and Asia... but it also matters for Prime Minister Modi... Canada has a lot of the things [India] wants: energy, technology products, and investments.

"There will be a number of things we are watching for, but one meeting cannot erase deep grievances on both sides... so this will be a long road in rebuilding the relationship." 

G7 summit: World leaders meet in Alberta for final day | Power & Politics

CBC News - Power & Politics, June 17, 2025

Featuring: Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada, Vina Nadjibulla

Excerpt: "Both leaders framed the meeting in terms of multilateral significant of each other... we need each other to be able to reduce over reliance on the U.S.. we need each other to make our Indo-Pacific strategies a success and deal with challenges emanating in China and ultimately for people-to-people ties

This will be not an easy situation... but this is a great start for re-building a relationship that has been on ice for too long." 

‘It will take time’: Vina Nadjibulla on Canada-India relations ahead of Carney’s meeting with Modi

The Hub (Hub Hits Podcast) June 17, 2025

Featuring: Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada, Vina Nadjibulla

Excerpt: "For there to be an opportunity for a diplomatic reset, we need to see some movement on these critical national security issues" between Canada and India. 

When looking at the issue of Khalistani separatist movements in Canada, Nadjibulla notes that these protests and actions are strongly protected under Canadian law, but that India hopes to see "signals" that these issues will not be taken up by  "Canadian political leadership" such as showing that "we take issues of violent extremism, of terrorism, of other national security concerns that India is raising. It is going to take time. There is not a lot of trust [and]... it goes back to the Air India bombing" in the 80's.

Inside Trump & Carney's G7 Meeting

CTV News,  June 17, 2025

Featuring: APF Canada Distinguished Fellow, Yves Tiberghien

Excerpt: "There is this problem that Donald Trump loves tariffs, and he's very attached to it," but Tiberghien notes that PM Carney, in a bilateral meeting with Trump on the margins of the G7 Summit, has presented a deal for negotiation to remove tariffs on Canadian imports that "includes raising defence spending in Canada." 

"Eventually, the deal, from what we hear, may still involve some tariffs.... it looks like the U.S. is trying to keep [a] 10% [tariff] with everybody... because they want revenue... so the big deal for Canada is 'can we do better than the 10%?'" 

Manitoba Premier Wab Kinew says Canada must spell out clear strategy for dealing with China

The Globe and Mail, June 17, 2025

Featuring: Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada, Vina Nadjibulla

Excerpt: Nadjibulla expresses reservations about BC Ferries plan to source new ships instead from China, agreeing with the Manitoba Premier that  Canada needs a made-in-Canada update of the Indo-Pacific strategy. “I think the Premier is right, that more direction from Ottawa is needed.”

Despite China remaining a large trading partner on agriculture and she reminds the public that “concerns that were present with respect to China just a few months ago are still there.

“Just because our relationship with the U.S. is now difficult, it does not mean that the issues around Chinese foreign interference, around transnational repression, the issues around economic coercion and economic security have disappeared.”

G6 After All

Politico - Canada Playbook, June 17, 2025

Featuring: Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada, Vina Nadjibulla

Excerpt: In regards to the Canada-India relationship, Najibulla notes "the change in leadership and the departure of Prime Minister [Justin] Trudeau did create a political opening for reset, but it wasn’t going to be automatic, and required concerted effort and political leadership on both sides. It’s been really encouraging to see Prime Minister Carney do exactly that.

“We expelled diplomats, we paused trade negotiations, we called out India publicly. We now have a law-enforcement process that’s moving ahead and a channel that has been established with India to work on this.”

In her opinion, the G7 Summit has set the stage for much needed “high-level discussions on trade and commerce" between the two nations.

Canada-India ties: Modi, Carney to hold talks at G7 summit

Hindustan Times, June 16, 2025

Featuring: Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada, Vina Nadjibulla

Excerpt: Taking a look at Canada's agenda and goals for the G7 Summit, as well as the expanded guest list including Asia-Pacific nations like Japan, India, south Korea, and Australia, Nadjibulla notes that this is part of Canada’s “review of foreign policy in general to reduce dependence on the United States... It shows Carney wants to diversify Canada’s economic and security partnerships.”

She added that the “Indo” in Canada's Indo-Pacific Strategy will “come into greater focus” this week as Canada-India take steps to start rebuilding their bilateral relationship. 

CBC'S Natasha Fatah speaks with Vina Nadjibulla of the Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada

CBC National News, June 15, 2025

Featuring: Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada, Vina Nadjibulla

Excerpt: 

Natasha Fatah: "We've heard repeatedly for multiple leaders that the focus is going to be on the economy and in terms of security, the main focus is on Ukraine. But there's no denying the major elephant in the room right now in the last two, three days has been this incredible escalation of fighting between Israel and Iran. How exactly should the G7 manage this?"

Vina Nadjibulla: "Absolutely, you're right, Natasha, that the agenda was already quite full, but of course, the developments in the Middle East are so concerning that it has to be dealt with. And the G7 offers a great platform for leaders to have face-to-face discussions about the ongoing situation, to call for de-escalation. We've seen that a number of individual leaders have already done so, including Prime Minister Carney. They're all in agreement that the situation needs to be contained, that we need to avoid a wider war, and being a G7 statement, a united statement on the issue, I think would be a great outcome for this summit, and something that certainly Prime Minister Carney and others will be working towards."

CTV National News: Global crises set the stage for high-stakes G7 Summit in Alberta

CTV National, June 14, 2025

Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada 

Excerpt: 

With global tensions rising, CTV’s Colton Praill previews key issues set to dominate the G7 Summit in Alberta, including the crisis in the Middle East and Canada's invitation to Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi.

"We have to find a way to deal with partners who might be difficult, but nonetheless, are important to our economy," said the Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada's Vice-President Research & Strategy Vina Nadjibulla.

Iran-Israel tensions and an unpredictable Trump to dominate G7

Al Jazeera, June 14, 2025

Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada

Excerpt: 

Even before this latest flare-up [Israel-Iran], the G7 in its 51st year comes “at a hinge moment because of economic disruptions and but also because of geopolitical shifts,” said Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy at the Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada. Nadjibulla was referring to the global tariffs unleashed earlier this year by Trump as well as a shifting foreign policy for the US under his leadership, with old alliances no longer cared for, as well as an “America First” message.

Against that backdrop, “Prime Minister Carney has been trying to meet the moment and be as purposeful as possible,” Nadjibulla added, pointing to the list of priorities Canada announced last week ahead of the summit.

That list focuses on strengthening global peace and security, including by countering foreign interference and transnational crime, as well as improving responses to wildfires; spurring economic growth by improving energy security, and bringing in public-private partnerships to spur investments.

The priorities announced, important domestically but also internationally, are a “testament” to Carney’s intentions, and “building the economy is front and centre,” said Nadjibulla.

Growing Israel-Iran conflict threatens to dominate G7 summit

The Globe and Mail, June 13, 2025

Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada

Excerpt: 

A growing conflict between Israel and Iran threatens to dominate, or derail, the economic prosperity agenda at the Group of Seven summit hosted by Canada that begins Sunday in a Rocky Mountain resort.

Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy at the Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada, said many world leaders are coming to the G7 hoping to talk to Mr. Trump about resolving U.S. tariff threats and the attendance of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky means Russia’s war on Ukraine will not get short shrift.

“Given that Ukraine will be at the table, and given that so many other governments want to discuss tariffs and trade with President Trump, I don’t think those issues can just be ignored,” she said.

What are the stakes for Canada as it hosts the G7 leaders’ summit?

Global News, June 13, 2025

Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada

Excerpt: 

Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy with the Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada, said Trump’s election and the growing threat environment requires a “different approach” to diplomatic relations, which is on display under Carney.

The invitation to Modi was particularly necessary, she said, given the size of India’s economy and strategic importance. She added that restoring the relationship with India could lead to further co-operation on the issue of transnational violence and foreign interference.

“I think we need to recognize that in today’s more dangerous world, we need to be able to engage and have high-level talks with counties with whom we have serious disagreements,” she told Global News. “Diplomacy is not a favour to our friends – it’s a tool to advance our interests and protect our values.”

Trump Ripping Up the Free Trade Playbook Comes With $1 Trillion Cost

Bloomberg,  June 13, 2025

Featuring: APF Canada Distinguished Fellow, Yves Tiberghien

Excerpt: "The trade war shock of Trump 2.0 in Canada is immense.

As such, Tiberghien notes that“the name of the game is diversification” for Canada as it reconsiders it's relationship with the united States. “There is a huge incentive now for the government and private sector to search for alternatives and there are only two directions: Asia and Europe. With Asia, the starting point is CPTPP.”

Les montées à l’assaut de la « montagne sacrée » de Taïwan, le fabricant de puces TSMC

Les Echos, 11 juin 2025

En vedette : Vina Nadjibulla, vice-présidente de la FAP Canada, et chargée de la recherche et de la stratégie

Extrait : Nadjibulla, « veut voir dans l’ancrage américain de TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co) que “les investissements extérieurs à grande échelle dans les semi-conducteurs restent possibles en dehors de l’Asie”, si tant est que le Canada parvienne à son tour à “différencier sa proposition de valeur”. Et pour entrer dans les réflexions du groupe, les Canadiens devront “améliorer la gamme des soutiens financiers, rationaliser les autorisations et approfondir les partenariats” avec les entreprises basées à Taïwan. »

Canada Goose se construit un empire de luxe en misant gros sur la Chine

The Walrus,  The Walrus, 10 juin 2025

En vedette : Jia Wang, agrégée supérieure de recherches à la FAP Canada

Extrait : Revenant sur les réformes de marché des années 1980 et l’essor qui en a résulté dans les années 2010, Wang note que c’était durant cette période que les marques internationales cherchaient à intégrer le marché intérieur chinois.

« La Chine était le pays des opportunités depuis plusieurs années. C’était l’endroit où il fallait se rendre si une entreprise souhaitait s’étendre. »

Quelles seront les implications d’un deuxième mandat Trump pour les relations Canada–Chine ?

The Globe and Mail, 9 juin 2025

En vedette : Lynette Ong, agrégée supérieure de recherches

Extrait : « Le deuxième mandat de l’administration Trump a conduit l’ordre libéral dirigé par les États-Unis à son terme. Sa remise en cause de la notion d’alliance occidentale a mis fin aux pactes sécuritaires de longue durée réunissant les démocraties occidentales, alors que plusieurs de celles-ci, notamment le Canada, ont envoyé des troupes pour combattre aux côtés des forces américaines après le 11 septembre.

Les valeurs, à elles seules, ne suffisent pas pour des politiques étrangères judicieuses. »